By Craig Rucker
Is there a more self-contradictory term than "settled science?"
Science should always be open to challenge and investigation. The
scientific method demands that conclusions must follow facts. We must
never adjust the facts to suit a conclusion.
Sadly, this is not always the case.
Sadly, this is not always the case.
We posted an article at CFACT.org
which highlights how "Stanford University medical professor John
Ioannidis, in an interview with Agence France Presse (AFP), blew the lid
off the trustworthiness of the peer-review process."
[W]hen studies are replicated, they rarely come up with the same results. Only a third of the 100 studies published in three top psychology journals could be successfully replicated in a large 2015 test,” AFP reported, summarizing Ioannidis’ findings...
According to Ioannidis, the peer-review process guarantees little in terms of trustworthiness even before political agendas compromise the issue.
[W]hen studies are replicated, they rarely come up with the same results. Only a third of the 100 studies published in three top psychology journals could be successfully replicated in a large 2015 test,” AFP reported, summarizing Ioannidis’ findings...
According to Ioannidis, the peer-review process guarantees little in terms of trustworthiness even before political agendas compromise the issue.
When only a third of peer-reviewed studies reach the same results
when they are replicated by outside authors, this is a serious problem.
Regarding climate change papers, the peer-reviewed papers are likely
even less reliable – before even considering the inescapably political
nature of the topic – because many papers address predictions and models
for which it is impossible to test the paper’s conclusions against
objective evidence. For example, when a scientist invents a climate
model predicting rapid global warming or seriously negative future
climate impacts, and when a paper summarizing the results of his or her
model appears in a peer-reviewed journal, there is no way at the time of
publication to compare the climate predictions against real-world
observations. This adds an additional level of doubt to the accuracy of
global warming predictions published in peer-reviewed science journals.
And this is before taking into consideration the inherently political
nature of the global warming debate and the political agendas of journal
editors and their carefully selected article reviewers.
Politics and rent-seeking greed have sadly infected the scientific process, particularly on the issue of climate. Global warming campaigners have treated peer-reviewed academic literature like sacred texts. However, the Climategate scandal revealed warming researchers were working diligently to exclude any science that contradicted their carefully honed, alarmist narrative from the literature.
We should expect more from the scientific community.
Science is too important to accept less.
CFACT